101 lines
3.0 KiB
Markdown
101 lines
3.0 KiB
Markdown
# Session: 2026-04-05 - Trading Log Analysis & Grid EA Shutdown Decision
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## Participants
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- **User**: Garfield (garfield@fetcherpay.com)
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- **AI**: opencode
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## Session Overview
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Analyzed MT5 trading logs from March-April 2026 to understand why Confluence EA stopped trading. Discovered shared drawdown issue between both EAs.
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---
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## 1. Log Analysis Findings
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### Grid EA Issues (OrdersEA_Smart_Grid)
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- Placed **dozens of grid orders per hour** on multiple pairs
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- March 31: Grid after grid placed and filled (6-10 buy + 6-10 sell stops per cycle)
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- When market moved against position, all levels filled → cascading losses
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- **Root cause of ~$60K loss**: Earlier in March (Mar 24-30) with clustering bug
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### Confluence EA Status
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- Continuously **blocked by low signal strength** (0.00 < 0.70-0.85)
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- **Volatility filters working** (ATR too low: 0.13-0.20% < 0.30%)
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- Filters working as designed - market was choppy/ranging
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- No drawdown protection triggered in recent logs
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### Grid Clustering Fix (Already Applied April 1)
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- Logs show "too close to price. Skipping" (fix working)
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- Pre-April 1 logs showed old "Adjusting" behavior
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---
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## 2. Equity Timeline from Logs
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| Date | Time | Equity | Event |
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|------|------|--------|-------|
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| Mar 31 | 08:34 | $107,036 | Daily reset |
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| Apr 1 | 15:11 | $106,952 | Declining |
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| Apr 1 | 17:00 | $106,896 | End of day |
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| Apr 2 | 17:00 | $107,084 | New day reset |
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---
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## 3. Critical Discovery: Shared Drawdown
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**Issue**: Both EAs share the same 3% daily drawdown limit.
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From `2026-03-31-confluence-settings-update.md`:
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- Both EAs check `AccountInfoDouble(ACCOUNT_EQUITY)`
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- Position counting IS correct (filters by symbol + magic)
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- **Implication**: If Grid EA loses 2%, Confluence only has 1% remaining
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**Code Location**:
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- `MultiSignal_Confluence_EA.mq5` lines 648-689
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- `OrdersEA_Smart_Grid.mq5` - similar daily drawdown logic
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---
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## 4. Decision: Shutdown Grid EA
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**User Action**: Shut down Grid EA for the week to test if it's hogging equity.
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**Reasoning**:
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- Grid EA consuming daily drawdown budget
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- Confluence EA blocked despite good signal filters
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- Separating the two might allow Confluence to trade
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**Steps**:
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1. Disable/remove Grid EA from all charts
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2. Restart Confluence EA to clear daily equity tracking
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3. Monitor for Confluence trades over next few days
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---
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## 5. What to Watch After Grid Shutdown
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1. **Confluence should have full 3% daily budget** - more room to trade
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2. **If still no trades**:
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- Still-ranging market (low ATR/ADX)
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- Signals below minimum strength (0.70-0.90)
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- Need MT5 restart to reset drawdown tracking
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3. **If trades resume** - Grid was hogging equity
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---
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## 6. Current Status (April 5, 2026)
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- **Grid EA**: Being disabled this week
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- **Confluence EA**: Running, awaiting trading opportunity
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- **Market conditions**: Low volatility/ranging (ATR filters blocking)
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- **Account**: ~$47% equity (still recovering)
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---
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## Session Status: IN PROGRESS
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Monitoring Confluence EA behavior without Grid EA competition.
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---
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*Session recorded: 2026-04-05*
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